Since the Sino-US kingdom of equality will be realized,

Since the collapse of the Soviet Union, the United States of America felt like the master of the world.
Their dominance in the international arena was undeniable, as well as a fairly stable economic growth and
the support of the allies gave them confidence in their rightness in all directions. However, with the
beginning of the 21st century, the hegemony of the United States began to be threatened by a new growing
force – the People’s Republic of China. China’s rapid growth could not be ignored, it literally struck. In the
world, people started to say that the new era will be the era of China. I must admit, it is not groundless. The
American question faced the American elites. What to do? Try to crush the growing power in all possible
ways, or recognize that the whole world in one hand can not hold, and start looking for common ground? If
the first option guaranteed a difficult future, as well as a very likely military conflict until the nuclear war,
then the second scenario came to the liking of many, especially supporters of realism in the United States.
From the second scenario, the idea of G2 was born. The idea of the division of the world between China and
the United States. What is behind this idea? Does it make sense? Is it beneficial for China? Many people ask
this question.

Interesting fact. The idea of dividing the world between the two super powers is not new, but
China’s participation there is a new trend. For example, Nikolai Berdyaev foresaw a similar
development of events as early as the beginning of the 20th century. After the weakening and
disintegration of Europe and Russia, there will be reign of Sinology and Americanism, two forces
that can find points of rapprochement among themselves, the philosopher wrote in the collection
right after the revolution. “Then the Sino-US kingdom of equality will be realized, in which no
ascents and ascents will be possible.”1 However, in the 21st century this theory became especially
relevant. She was nominated in 2005 in the book by Fred Bergsten, director of the Peterson Institute
for International Economics, “The United States and the World Economy”2. Outside of academic
reasoning, the idea came after the financial crisis of 2008, when it was supported, among others, by
Henry Kissinger and Zbigniew Brzezinski. It was Zbigniew Brzezinski, who was an adviser to
Barack Obama during the election campaign, proposed in January 2009 to create a big deuce.

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What is primarily behind this idea? Why did the US decide to share, or rather say, just give a
piece of the pie called the world to China? First and foremost, the matter is naturally in the rapid
growth of the Chinese economy. China has already reached the second place in the world in terms
of nominal GDP, as well as the first GDP at purchasing power parity. 3The United States will not be
able to fight the economic power of China and definitely lost this war. China has already become
the largest external creditor of the United States. The second aspect is the armed forces. At the
moment, the preponderance is unequivocally on the side of the United States, but, according to the
data, China is in second place in spending on the army around the world4. Given the economic
potential as well as the population of China, it all looks even more sad for the United States.
What are the advantages of such a union could get two countries? From the point of view of the
United States, there are many of them. Washington and Beijing could jointly participate in the
settlement of the Middle East crisis, the Iranian and North Korean nuclear problems, to reconcile India and Pakistan, to send joint contingents to the states covered by the civil war under the UN
flag. Against the background of the decline of the activity of the European allies of the United
States, which are clearly reluctant to send their contingents to joint peacekeeping operations, China
could replace them. However, this is at odds with the Chinese “Peace Way” development. In other
words, the initiative coming from the US will always put the United States first. And what about the
position of China? Will they want to enter the game, the rules of which the US has created? During
the formation of this idea, the PRC, headed by Hu Jintao, does not get involved in such an
adventure. According to the opinion, this idea implied less involvement in the problem than
responsibility. In other words, the US simply wants to shift some of its responsibilities to China.
This could damage the reputation of China and also goes against the idea of staying in the shadows.
The PRC continued to follow the foreign policy ideas of Deng Xiaoping, urging compatriots to save
forces and not particularly demonstrate them on the international arena. 5After the rise of Xi
Jinping, relations between China and the United States began to decline after several attempts to
gain a foothold in the disputed islands in the South China Sea. The idea of G2 was rapidly
declining. With the coming to power of the administration of President Trump in the US and did
talk about the economic war with China. Trump’s slogan “America first” implied the announcement
of an economic confrontation with China. However, shortly after the onset of the service, Rhetoric
Donald Trump changed.

Reflections on this topic can be summed up by the conclusions of a researcher from Harvard
Business School Jeremy Friedman. He states that today it is impossible to confront both Russia and
China for America at the same time. Therefore, one has to choose one of them as allies. The idea of
making friends with everyone for some reason in the United States is not very popular, one must
always resist someone. Therefore, a dilemma arises: which ally is best for the United States. Trump
rather actively advocated the restoration of partnership relations and the resumption of constructive
dialogue with Russia, but the scandal with Russia’s interference in US elections put an end to this
idea. Continue to establish a dialogue after it fell on him all the sleep was tantamount to a voluntary
surrender of power. Impeachment in this case would not have found itself waiting long. Here then
Trump and went on the path of the second plan – a return to the idea of G2. However, the words
spoken before can not be returned back. For example, the statement of the senior adviser to the US
president at the time, Steve Bannon – “We are in a state of economic war with China. <...> They do
not hesitate to talk about what they are doing. One of us will become a hegemon for 25 or 30 years.
And it will be they, if we get stuck on this way “- it’s hard to forget. It was he who fought for the
fact that the White House had a tougher stance towards the PRC. “We must be manically focused on
this. If we continue to lose, then in five – a maximum of ten years we will reach the point of no
return, after which we can no longer recover, “- this is how he did not hesitate to call things in his
own words an adviser to the US president. The Chinese side, as always, was restrained responding
to such attacks. “The path of the trade war has no future. It does not serve the interests of either
party. No one will be able to get out of the trade war as a winner, “said the official spokesperson of
the Chinese Foreign Ministry, Hua Chuning.

In any case, the denial of Donald Trump from his promised tough line of conduct towards China,
which was manifested in the negotiations with Xi Jinping, gave impetus to speculation about a new edition of the American initiative G2. However, China is no longer interested in this initiative.
Currently, China’s unconditional foreign policy priority is not the mythical “big deuce”, but the “one
belt, one way” project in the Eurasian space.6In this project, Russia plays a big role, which the US
could not like. China’s rapprochement with Russia also made it clear that China will not dance to
the tune of the United States. Russia is a more convenient ally for China. Rich in natural resources
and under pressure from Western sanctions, Russia turned completely to China and is ready to go to
deals that are not always beneficial to itself. Many believe that China did not abandon the idea of
G2, but just decided to change partner. In the case of the tandem, China and Russia, China will play
a leading role, not the United States. For China, this is a more pleasant scenario.

It is also worth noting the rather unequivocal position of the Chinese authorities in relation to the
conflict in Syria as well as the nuclear problem of the DPRK. Beijing officially condemned the
unilateral use of force in Syria outside the framework of the UN Charter and the decisions of the
UN Security Council, clearly implying here an American missile strike against the Syrian military
base.7Similarly, China unequivocally reacts to the prospect of a military solution to the problem of
the DPRK, showing that it is ready to defend its allies quite resolutely. China, like Russia, is against
military intervention. 8 However, it should also be noted that China does not go to confrontation

In conclusion, I would like to add that China has not yet expressed its political ambitions to the
full, it still prefers to keep aloof. However, according to his actions, we can already say that
ambitions clearly do not fit into the American idea of the G2 led by the United States. The idea of
G2 under the initiative of China and Russia as number two is getting more and more precise lines,
the project of a new silk way clearly states to the whole world that China claims to be leading in the
future. However, China is not the US, and what will lead to its strengthening in the future can only
be guessed. China’s friendly relations with Russia are temporary in my opinion. Now it is
convenient for China to take a weaker player as a partner, but in the future, China’s policy towards
Russia can become more rigid and selfish. However, the idea of dividing the world between the
United States and China is now farther and farther from the incarnation. Too different these two
countries. Too different mentality among peoples. A different approach to solving problems and
goals. There are fewer and fewer points of contact. On some economic relations, a durable alliance
can not be built. Under the current administration in the US, China clearly will not go on
rapprochement itself. China prefers stability, which no one from the Trump administration is
waiting for. One thing we can say for sure, the modern world is changing at a tremendous speed.
And today’s cooling of relations between the US and China does not mean anything. The situation
can change very quickly. It remains to be hoped that neither the US nor China will choose the first
way to solve the problem – an open confrontation.